NEWS

Trump leading Clinton among Iowa State Fair corn pollers

Lauren Ehrler
lehrler@dmreg.com

It's not scientific. It hasn't proven to be an accurate predictor of election results. But it's an Iowa State Fair tradition.

It's the annual WHO-HD Channel 13 "Cast Your Kernel" poll at the Iowa State Fair.

People at the Iowa State Fair can cast a kernel for their preferred presidential candidate in the WHO-HD Channel 13 "Cast Your Kernel" poll. The poll is unscientific.

Participation is simple. Fairgoers just head to the local NBC affiliate's tent in front of the Administration Building. If you look 18 you will be given a corn kernel to place in a jar representing either Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton or Republican nominee Donald Trump. You're only supposed to vote once per day and you don't need to be a registered voter.

As of Monday evening, near the halfway point of the fair, Trump was leading Clinton 55 percent to 45 percent. (You can check an updating tally of the poll here.) There is no jar available for third-party candidates.

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WHO's admittedly unscientific poll runs contrary to the latest NBC poll that shows Clinton ahead of Trump by four points in Iowa.

Ahead of the last presidential contest in 2012, more than 72,000 kernels were cast and fairgoers chose Mitt Romney as the winner with 55 percent of the vote. We now know that Romney lost and President Barack Obama was elected to another term. In 2008, the poll got it right when Obama edged out John McCain 51 to 49 percent of kernels cast.

Last summer, kernels were cast ahead of the 2016 caucuses. Clinton swept the Democratic jars and Trump was declared the winner among his Republican challengers. While Clinton went on to win in January, Trump finished second in the caucuses behind Texas Sen. Ted Cruz.

The "Cast Your Kernel" poll has been held at the fair for more than a decade.