IOWA CAUCUSES

Quinnipiac poll: Sanders surges past Clinton in Iowa

Grant Rodgers
grodgers@dmreg.com

U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders has risen over Hillary Clinton to become the top choice of Iowa's Democrats, signaling a race that will be neck-and-neck through caucus night, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll.

Democratic presidential candidate, Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt,  talks during the Brown & Black Forum, Monday, Jan. 11, 2016, in Des Moines, Iowa.

Sanders, a self-described democratic socialist U.S. senator whose tough talk on Wall Street has made him a liberal icon, got 49 percent support from likely Democratic caucusgoers, while Clinton won support from 44 percent. That's a reshuffling in the race from the university's last poll in mid-December that showed the former first lady and secretary of state with 51 percent and the senator from Vermont with 40 percent.

Campaign trail rhetoric from both Clinton and Sanders has reflected this tightening in the race.

The Clinton campaign put Sanders on the defense in recent days by criticizing his 2005 vote shielding gun manufacturers from some civil liability in gun deaths. Clinton's campaign suggested that the senator's stance a decade ago would be in opposition to a slate of gun control measures proposed by the Obama administration earlier in January.

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But Sanders told reporters in Iowa on Monday that Clinton knows her campaign is in "serious trouble."

"I think a candidate who was originally thought to be the anointed candidate, to be the inevitable candidate, is now locked in a difficult race here in Iowa and in New Hampshire," Sanders said after a Pleasantville campaign stop.

IOWA BLACK AND BROWN FORUM:

But while the poll favored Sanders in the first-in-the-nation voting state, likely Iowa caucusgoers saw Clinton as more likely to win the general election in November, results showed. Eighty-five percent of Democrats polled said Clinton would have a "good chance" of winning the presidency over a Republican candidate, while only 68 percent said the same about Sanders.

Meanwhile, former Maryland governor Martin O'Malley's support dropped from 6 percent in December to 4 percent.

O'Malley has consistently struggled to gain traction, but thin margins separating his rivals suggest that O'Malley supporters could become crucial in turning the stakes for either Clinton or Sanders in precincts where he does not win the 15 percent support needed to be considered "viable" on caucus night, assistant poll director Peter A. Brown said in a release.

The economy and healthcare were the top two issues among Iowans polled. Fifty-one percent said Sanders could better handle economic issues, while Clinton narrowly led on healthcare with 48 percent preferring her position on that issue. The poll also shows Sanders winning Iowans over on his ability to fight climate change.

“Iowa likely Democratic Caucus-goers see Sanders as better able to handle the economy and climate change, two important issues for Democrats and a key asset for him in the home stretch,” Brown added.

Clinton, however, led the field on foreign policy and terrorism issues; 70 percent said they saw her more capable in the foreign policy realm and 63 percent favored her on terrorism.

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